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Thursday, January 25, 2007

Ask Our Resident Bookie Johnny Vegas

SUPERBOWL

Johnny,

It's that time of year, so you know the question: Who do I take in the Super Bowl?

Timmy Rock,
Plains Georgia




Well Timmy, there's an old adage in the bookie world, and it goes: Don't ever bet against Bill Belichik and Tom Brady. Brady may not have the gaudy stats of some of the league's other quarterbacks, but in a big game.......What? The patriots lost the AFC championship game? Sorry Timmy, I went to bed after the first half and assumed the patriots wouldn't have one of the worst &^%$? second half collapses in playoff history. Now I know what it's like to be a Yankee fan. Actually, I take that back, the Yankee collapse was WAY worse.

So it looks like the colts are giving seven. You're gonna hear so much analysis of this game that after listening to the incessant "x-factors" and "match up problems" you could end up making your pick on who has the best backup full back.

The bottom line is that Peyton Manning is the quarterback for the Colts and Rex Grossman in the quarterback for the Bears. Grossman has been average at best during these playoffs. Bears fans are just happy the wheels haven't fallen off yet, but they will this weekend. Too many times Grossman looks like a high schooler in a parking lot pick up game, throwing the deep fly route any chance he gets regardless of the coverage. If the colts can fool Grossman into thinking there's single coverage on the outside a few times it'll be pick city, and once Indy has the lead, game over. Their cover 2 is designed for rushing the quarterback and thrives in obvious passing situations.

On the flip side, the bears D is still formidable, but without Tommy Harris and Mike Brown it is no longer dominant. And a dominant D is what is needed to keep the colts from putting points on the board.

Take the Colts to cover the spread and bet your mortgage on it, Remember, I haven't been wrong since the 86' World Series.

JV

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